DAMASCUS, Syria, Aug. 6 — The success or failure of any cease-fire in Lebanon will largely hinge on the opinion of one figure: Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, the secretary general of Hezbollah, who has seen his own aura and that of his party enhanced immeasurably by battling the Israeli Army for nearly four weeks.
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Shawn Baldwin for the New York Times
Posters of Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah, are common at anti-Israeli demonstrations in Tehran and around the Arab world.
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With Israeli troops operating in southern Lebanon, Sheik Nasrallah can continue fighting on
the grounds that he seeks to expel an occupier, much as he did in the years preceding Israel’s withdrawal in 2000.
the grounds that he seeks to expel an occupier, much as he did in the years preceding Israel’s withdrawal in 2000.
Or he can accept a cease-fire — perhaps to try to rearm — and earn the gratitude of Lebanon and much of the world.
Analysts expect some kind of middle outcome, with the large-scale rocket attacks stopping but Hezbollah guerrillas still attacking soldiers so that Israel still feels pain.
In any case, the Arab world has a new icon.
Gone are the empty threats made by President Gamal Abdel Nasser’s official radio station during the 1967 Arab-Israeli war to push the Jews into the sea even as Israel seized Jerusalem, the Golan Heights and the Sinai Peninsula.
Gone is Saddam Hussein’s idle vow to “bu








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